Match Summary

On 3 May 2026, in HNL 25/26 (Round 33), NK Istra 1961 host NK Slaven Belupo at Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula.

Market Favorite: NK Istra 1961, with an implied win probability of approximately 41% (away ~38%; draw ~33%).

Event page: NK Istra 1961 - NK Slaven Belupo.

Form Analysis & Trajectory

• NK Istra 1961: Enter this match on a five-game losing run. Season output points to causes: 35 goals scored and 47 conceded in 32 matches (1.09 scored and 1.47 allowed per match), indicating limited chance conversion and a defense that has been breached too easily; the home setting offers a chance to arrest the slide.
• NK Slaven Belupo: Winless in five (three losses, two draws). They generate slightly more offense than Istra over the season (43 goals in 32; 1.34 per match) but defensive leakage (52 conceded; 1.63 per match) has turned tight contests into dropped points, explaining the recent run without victories.

Comparison Data

Key Match Insights

• Manager Duel: No recorded head-to-head in the provided data between Krešimir Režić (Istra) and Mario Gregurina (Slaven).
• H2H balance: The series is level (Istra 3 wins, Slaven 3 wins, 4 draws); the last meeting finished NK Slaven Belupo 1–0 NK Istra 1961.
• Form quality (squad averages): Istra 6.76 vs Slaven 6.75, reflecting near-parity in recent performance levels.
• Context: Played at Stadion Aldo Drosina (capacity 8,900). With only a 2-point gap (Slaven 38 vs Istra 36), the match can directly affect mid-table positions.